Vanguard Health Care Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VHCIX Fund  USD 144.59  1.13  0.78%   
The entity has a beta of 0.63, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Health is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Health Care are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Health is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Vanguard Health Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14,145  in Vanguard Health Care on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  314.00  from holding Vanguard Health Care or generate 2.22% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Health Care is currently producing 0.0405% returns and takes up 0.8958% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Health is expected to generate 1.65 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Vanguard Health Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
144.59
Please note that Vanguard Health's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Vanguard Health Care has a current Real Value of $144.51 per share. The regular price of the fund is $144.59. We determine the value of Vanguard Health Care from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Health is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Health's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  144.59 Real  144.51 Hype  144.59
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Health's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Health's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
143.61
Downside
144.51
Real Value
145.41
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Health Care helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Health more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Health's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.69144.59145.49
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Health Care extending back to January 30, 2004. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Health stands at 144.59, as last reported on the 10th of February, with the highest price reaching 144.59 and the lowest price hitting 144.59 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Health Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 144.59 90 days 144.59 
about 36.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Health to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.7 (This Vanguard Health Care probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Health has a beta of 0.63. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Health Care will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Health Care has an alpha of 0.0463, implying that it can generate a 0.0463 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.69144.59145.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
143.61144.51145.41
Details

Vanguard Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Health Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Vanguard Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Health Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.49% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Health Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Health, and Vanguard Health fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Health Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Health's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Health has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Health has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, an index made up of stocks of large, mid-size, and small U.S. companies within the health care sector, as classified under the GICS. The Advisor attempts to replicate the target index by seeking to invest all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, in order to hold each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Vanguard Health Care performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Health Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.49% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Vanguard Health's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Health's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Health's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Health's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Health's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Health's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Health's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Health's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Health's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Health's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Health's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Health security.
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